Yes.
Without acceleration both systems are symmetric so they MUST observe the same end result.
As the end result is in the same location and the same frame the two observers must agree according to special relativity.
However, although there is no absolute velocity and we cannot tell which frame is moving, there IS absolute acceleration and we can determine which of the twins is accelerating.
So acceleration must have effects upon time to explain this paradox.
That principle was the basis of the theory of general relativity.
In terms of your update. As both motions are at constant speed, Both the earth and you agree on the amount of time that your clocks will have been running.
Where they DISAGREE is the moment at which you stop the clock.
ie as the earth sees your clock running slowly the earth will see YOUR clock turn off with the same time shown as the earth clock. But they observe you turning it off somewhat later than the earth clock.
Now what happens when you return? If you turn off your clock as you go shooting PAST the earth, then return to be stationary on the earth both clocks will read the same.
If you come to earth and DECELERATE FIRST then compare the clocks they will not read the same.
The act of stopping is what creates the difference.